CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.
Cred-RepoA public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
852 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?”
Event: Will The Maximum Arctic Sea Ice Extent This Winter Be Between 14pt2m 14pt4m Square Kilometers
25%
confidence
❌ Wrong
Outcome: Yes
Score: 0.56 (Poor)
Sealed Mar 31, 2026·Resolved Apr 3, 2026
FE1242DACare to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.