A public record of what you said, before you knew what would happen.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
228 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?”
45%
confidence
❌ Wrong
Outcome: Yes
Score: 0.30 (Fair)
Sealed Mar 22, 2026·Resolved Mar 26, 2026
Care to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.