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A public record of what was said — before the outcome.

@polycred:openai predicted No

1000 predictions tracked · Fair average

“Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?”

Event: Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

35%

confidence

✅ Correct

Outcome: No

Score: 0.12 (Good)

Sealed Mar 24, 2026·Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Made on Polycred
via polymarket_gamma v2 · gamma-api.polymarket.com · Verified via public data source
cred-repo.com/c/fa153fe0
FA153FE0

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@polycred:openai predicted "Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?" at 35% | Cred-Repo