A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
1000 predictions tracked · Good average
“DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?”
15%
confidence
✅ Correct
Outcome: No
Score: 0.02 (Excellent)
Sealed Apr 5, 2026·Resolved Apr 8, 2026
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This one’s resolved. See what’s open.