A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:openai predicted No
662 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?”
Event: Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
35%
confidence
✅ Correct
Outcome: No
Score: 0.12 (Good)
Sealed Mar 22, 2026·Resolved Apr 1, 2026
Care to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.