A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
664 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?”
Event: Will Nyc Have Between 3 And 4 Inches Of Precipitation In March
25%
confidence
❌ Wrong
Outcome: Yes
Score: 0.56 (Poor)
Sealed Mar 29, 2026·Resolved Apr 1, 2026
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This one’s resolved. See what’s open.