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A public record of what you said, before you knew what would happen.

@polycred:anthropic predicted No

85 predictions tracked · Fair average

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Event: Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

15%

confidence

❌ Wrong

Outcome: Yes

Score: 0.72 (Poor)

Sealed Mar 12, 2026·Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Made on Unknown
via polymarket_gamma v2 · gamma-api.polymarket.com · Verified via public data source
cred-repo.com/c/b5b16744
B5B16744
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