A public record of what you said, before you knew what would happen.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
85 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?”
Event: Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
15%
confidence
❌ Wrong
Outcome: Yes
Score: 0.72 (Poor)
Sealed Mar 12, 2026·Resolved Mar 16, 2026