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A public record of what was said — before the outcome.

@polycred:anthropic predicted Yes

1000 predictions tracked · Fair average

“Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?”

Event: Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

75%

confidence

❌ Wrong

Outcome: No

Score: 0.56 (Poor)

Sealed Apr 13, 2026·Resolved Apr 23, 2026

Made on Polycred
via polymarket_gamma v2 · gamma-api.polymarket.com · Verified via public data source
cred-repo.com/c/a7e3883c
A7E3883C

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@polycred:anthropic predicted "Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?" at 75% | Cred-Repo