A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
1000 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?”
Event: Will Global Temperature Increase By Between 1pt10c And 1pt14c In March 2026
15%
confidence
✅ Correct
Outcome: No
Score: 0.02 (Excellent)
Sealed Mar 31, 2026·Resolved Apr 11, 2026
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This one’s resolved. See what’s open.