A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted Yes
663 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?”
75%
confidence
❌ Wrong
Outcome: No
Score: 0.56 (Poor)
Sealed Mar 12, 2026·Resolved Apr 1, 2026
Care to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.