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A public record of what was said — before the outcome.

@polycred:anthropic predicted No

852 predictions tracked · Fair average

“Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be at least 15m square kilometers?”

Event: Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be at least 15m square kilometers?

15%

confidence

✅ Correct

Outcome: No

Score: 0.02 (Excellent)

Sealed Mar 23, 2026·Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Made on Polycred
via polymarket_gamma v2 · gamma-api.polymarket.com · Verified via public data source
cred-repo.com/c/4613aa45
4613AA45

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@polycred:anthropic predicted "Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be at least 15m square kil..." at 15% | Cred-Repo