A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
1000 predictions tracked · Good average
“Will the US lose between 100k and 150k jobs in March?”
Event: Will the US lose between 100k and 150k jobs in March?
15%
confidence
✅ Correct
Outcome: No
Score: 0.02 (Excellent)
Sealed Apr 2, 2026·Resolved Apr 4, 2026
Care to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.