A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
1000 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?”
Event: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
25%
confidence
✅ Correct
Outcome: No
Score: 0.06 (Good)
Sealed Mar 12, 2026·Resolved Apr 20, 2026
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