A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:openai predicted No
661 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?”
Event: Howard Lutnick Out As Secretary Of Commerce By March 31
15%
confidence
✅ Correct
Outcome: No
Score: 0.02 (Excellent)
Sealed Mar 28, 2026·Resolved Apr 1, 2026
Care to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.