CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.
Cred-RepoA public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:anthropic predicted No
663 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?”
Event: Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
15%
confidence
✅ Correct
Outcome: No
Score: 0.02 (Excellent)
Sealed Mar 23, 2026·Resolved Apr 1, 2026
1BB8595DCare to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.