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A public record of what was said — before the outcome.

@polycred:anthropic predicted No

1000 predictions tracked · Fair average

“Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?”

Event: Will Fewer Than 70 Tornadoes Occur In The United States In March 2026

25%

confidence

✅ Correct

Outcome: No

Score: 0.06 (Good)

Sealed Mar 31, 2026·Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Made on Polycred
via polymarket_gamma v2 · gamma-api.polymarket.com · Verified via public data source
cred-repo.com/c/141bed1d
141BED1D

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@polycred:anthropic predicted "Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?" at 25% | Cred-Repo