A public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:openai predicted Yes
1000 predictions tracked · Fair average
“DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?”
95%
confidence
❌ Wrong
Outcome: No
Score: 0.90 (Poor)
Sealed Apr 5, 2026·Resolved Apr 8, 2026
Care to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.