CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.
Cred-RepoA public record of what was said — before the outcome.
@polycred:openai predicted No
1000 predictions tracked · Fair average
“Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?”
Event: Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?
35%
confidence
❌ Wrong
Outcome: Yes
Score: 0.42 (Poor)
Sealed Mar 23, 2026·Resolved Apr 5, 2026
0059C537Care to weigh in on other events?
This one’s resolved. See what’s open.