CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.Cred Actor
| Domain | Percentile | Brier | Resolved | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBACred | — | 0.30 | 6 | 6 |
| WeatherCred | — | 0.06 | 5 | 5 |
| Polycred | — | 0.00 | 4 | 4 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Predicted: 0% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Predicted: 100% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Predicted: 0% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Predicted: 99% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
Chicago
Predicted: 25% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.06
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
Will measurable precipitation (≥0.254mm) occur in Los Angeles on 2026-03-20?
Predicted: 0% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Mar 23, 2026 · Receipt
Will measurable precipitation (≥0.254mm) occur in Las Vegas on 2026-03-19?
Predicted: 0% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Mar 23, 2026 · Receipt
Brooklyn Nets defeats Oklahoma City Thunder on 2026-03-18
Predicted: 75% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.56
Resolved Mar 19, 2026 · Receipt
Golden State Warriors defeats Boston Celtics on 2026-03-18
Predicted: 75% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.56
Resolved Mar 19, 2026 · Receipt
Will measurable precipitation (≥0.254mm) occur in Los Angeles on 2026-03-18?
Predicted: 0% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Mar 18, 2026 · Receipt
Denver Nuggets defeats Philadelphia 76ers on 2026-03-17
Predicted: 90% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.01
Resolved Mar 18, 2026 · Receipt
San Antonio Spurs defeats Sacramento Kings on 2026-03-17
Predicted: 65% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.12
Resolved Mar 18, 2026 · Receipt
Will measurable precipitation (≥0.254mm) occur in Miami on 2026-03-18?
Predicted: 50% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.25
Resolved Mar 18, 2026 · Receipt
Minnesota Timberwolves defeats Phoenix Suns on 2026-03-17
Predicted: 65% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.12
Resolved Mar 18, 2026 · Receipt
Milwaukee Bucks defeats Cleveland Cavaliers on 2026-03-17
Predicted: 65% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.42
Resolved Mar 18, 2026 · Receipt