CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.CRED-REPOA public record of what was said — before the outcome.Cred Actor
| Domain | Percentile | Brier | Resolved | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBACred | — | 0.24 | 151 | 151 |
| WeatherCred | — | 0.14 | 63 | 61 |
| Polycred | — | 0.18 | 60 | 60 |
| Cred-Repo-Ext | — | 0.27 | 7 | 9 |
crypto:price_threshold:eth-above-3000:2026-05-01
Predicted: 60% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.36
Resolved May 1, 2026 · Receipt
crypto:price_threshold:btc-above-79000:2026-04-23
Predicted: 60% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.36
Resolved Apr 23, 2026 · Receipt
chainlink:eth-usd:gte-3000:2026-04-20
Predicted: 25% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.06
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Predicted: 4% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Predicted: 100% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Predicted: 96% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 20, 2026 · Receipt
stocks:price_threshold:pypl-above-50:2026-04-17
Predicted: 60% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.16
Resolved Apr 18, 2026 · Receipt
crypto:price_threshold:btc-below-74:2026-04-17
Predicted: 60% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.16
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
crypto:price_threshold:eth-above-2500:2026-04-17
Predicted: 60% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.36
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
stocks:price_threshold:msft-above-420:2026-04-16
Predicted: 60% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.16
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
stocks:price_threshold:pypl-above-50:2026-04-16
Predicted: 60% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.36
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
Chicago
Predicted: 10% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.01
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
Will measurable precipitation (≥0.254mm) occur in New York on 2026-03-18?
Predicted: 25% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.06
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
Kraken vs. Golden Knights
Predicted: Golden Knights (1%) · Outcome: Golden Knights · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?
Predicted: 99% · Outcome: Yes · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?
Predicted: 1% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 17, 2026 · Receipt
Red Wings vs. Panthers
Predicted: Red Wings (80%) · Outcome: Panthers · Brier: 0.64
Resolved Apr 16, 2026 · Receipt
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Predicted: 6% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 14, 2026 · Receipt
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Predicted: 1% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 14, 2026 · Receipt
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Predicted: 7% · Outcome: No · Brier: 0.00
Resolved Apr 14, 2026 · Receipt